Putin
gave aweird performance Aug 27 at a Minsk press conference- (@5:37, also see
9:10 min). Putin rocks back and forth the whole time, looks really
stressed, extremely sad- almost about to
cry, looks down + takes huge breaths to steady himself 3 or 4 times,
shudders 2-3 times. Is the Little Big Man
losing it? In the video of his Minsk speech to the leaders (about trade
loses Russia would
suffer, nothing on the WAR), every leader was glaring at him in icy
hateful disbelief, Poroshenko with looks that could kill- Putin looked
nervous and ill at ease. He is under enormous
pressure now from all sides, having awakened the dragon of Russian
nationalism + extremism, which he carefully suppressed for 14 years in
the
Nat. Bolsheviks, being hectored by every foreign leader, oligarchs
grumbling
about destruction of their fortunes + economy, world closing to
Russians, losing
Ukraine forever, mothers screaming about their thousands of secretly buried sons, a likely overthrow in 4-5 years (see IMPERIAL
STRETCH). In one scenario of my WHATS PUTINS GAME article, I had
Putin starts a nuclear war as option 3b, almost as a joke, but have
raised the probability after seeing this video.
And to confirm that, Putin
went to a Nashi camp, his own Putin (Hitler) Youth project, (slavish
storm troopers to terrorize any critic of his-they once drove the Estonian
Ambass. out of Russia) to threaten the West and wave the nuclear sabre:
"Russia's partners... should understand it's best not to mess with us," said Putin. "Thank
God, I think no one is thinking of unleashing a large-scale conflict
with Russia. I want to remind you that Russia is one of the leading
nuclear powers."
This is incredibly contemptible and pitiful,
like a pimp getting approval from his own stable of girls- that's how isolated he has
become and low he has sunk. Before he always kept them at an arms distance, so he could
have some deniability of their crimes. Nashi, which means "ours" is
apparently "mine" to Putin, all he can count on now are his robotically
indoctrinated "children". I wrote about them for a little paper when I
was there last, after I got trapped in a creepy Red Square Victory Day
celebration that was ALL PUTIN YOUTH; like Invasion of the Body Snatchers- expected them to recognize I was not one of them, point, open mouths, scream, and chase me.
Another
serious danger is Ukraine openly aspiring to be NATO (Rasmussen seemed to encourage it)- first if the
wimps in the West aren't forking over every weapons system in the
warehouses now, don't expect them to let Ukraine in in the middle of a
war. NATO is a deterrent organization- it's
supposed to prevent an invasion, not stop an ongoing one- that takes 1-2 years of equipment upgrades, training and exercises. The danger is that I've long thought joining NATO is Putin's Red Line- that he would fully occupy Ukraine rather than allow NATO to absorb his "little (abused) brother"
and actually border Russia. America would react the
same way if Canada had suddenly decided to join the Warsaw Pact. It's
simply too late now. But he has apparently decided to endure the
hatred and sanctions of the West to "win"- like many others he knows we
have no patience to keep them up and reduce out hydrocarbon jones-
except he also realizes any victory will be Pyrrhic, that he's already
destroyed far more than he can hope to gain. These forces have caught
Putin in a pincers.
Putin underwent a savage childhood
in the devastated St. Petersburg, 8 years after 1 mil died in the 1000
day Nazi siege (people resorted to cannibalism)- in extreme density,
hungry, small, fighting for scraps, beset upon. I lived there by a mass
cemetery of some 800k victims- Piskarevskoye, where the ghostly nonstop
dirge music faintly floated in through the aptmt windows in the bleak
winter of '91, when some predicted starvation and you shopped
constantly (like breathing) in empty stores for nonexistent items, and
the SU evaporated. An absolutely amazing interview of Putin's supposed Georgian mother
from 2008, claims he was shipped out to relatives in Russia at 10 yo
cause her new husband didn't want him, who then presumably let a
Petersburg couple adopt him. THAT would scramble a child's brain.
-Putin's mother?! Same eyes and bone structure, and a VP was registered there at school
If
Putin is really unstable, public advocation of Ukraine joining NATO is just what the
doctor didn't order. Get military hardware, equipment, training, fighters- yes
sure, from anywhere, from anyone. But right now, in the middle of a
war, don't agitate for joining NATO, something they NEVER will do, but
it would fuel every paranoid Putin fantasy about long term
Western game
plans and conspiracies in his KGB-corroded head. He really does believe
that the Maidan Protests were entirely a creation of America. On Tues
Putin declared NATO a major threat
as they prepared to meet Friday in Wales, and Obama went to Estonia to
show the flag for NATO, even as he lets Ukraine slowly twist in the wind. If Russian generals are really
threatening Kyiv with nukes (which I don't believe, and reckless of Ukrs to claim if untrue), that shows how out of control they
are. And how dangerous the situation. The recent lightning advances of his Russian regulars (doubling territory in a week) may soothe him, or embolden him to greater abuses.
In
a few brief days, Putin's relentless escalation and his questionable
mental state have amplified Ukraine's tortured trials into a first class
Cold War superpower emergency- the great danger is that without even realizing that we are here, we could stumble into the nuclear apocalypse that has been so patiently waiting for man since 1945.