ACCURATE FORECASTS
in Michael Hammerschlag's Commentaries
Forecast
Actuality
Mar
’08 Warned “world markets are hanging by a
thread” and “A
Sept
‘08-? Lehman Bros. Collapses; Hundreds of trillions $ of junk
collapse
by any major player (investment
house) could create
mortgage bonds, CDS, CDO’s
peddled by USA destroy
a
chain reaction that would cause a worldwide
collapse”
world banks + economy; Starts new depression?
The Bush Battered Dollar Oct ’07- Warned friends to sell
everything
Aug
’08
Said McCain’s
judgment was deeply flawed going back to
Nov ’08 McCain crushed
in epochal election by first black
decision to not
“allow” himself from being repatriated
from
President. Chooses
spectacularly unqualified and
North Vietnam prison- A
Question of Judgment Scoop
incompetent Palin
Veep; Runs erratic, flakey campaign
Oct
’07 Said Putin would never leave
office- that he would appoint
May ’08
Putin Prime Minister under
“President” Medvedev;
a
protégé who would make him Prime Minister, then come
Medvedev looks harried
under constant pressure;
back as President – The Infinite
Putin- Capital
Times
Former liberal more and more
hard-line
July
’02 Warned Israel’s persecution
of Arafat
and the PLO, the only June ’07 After Bush
backing of Fatah takeover, Hamas crushes
moderate Palestinian leader risked bringing HAMAS to power; Fatah in Gaza and assumes control; Israel imposes
BushCo encouraging attacks
on PLO + Arafat – Liberal Slant
blockade, Jan 2009 invasion kills 1450,
destroys Gaza
Sept
‘98 Warned of enormous
rise
in global warming,
creating
Sept ’04 Florida
hammered by 4 hurricanes
more
and larger hurricanes + extreme
weather; Said changes Sept
’05 Katrina + Rita destroy New
Orleans
likely past point of
no
return; Exposed contributions of NO2
Scientists
say
temp rise past point of no return
Said
China + India coal burning would make Kyoto moot;
China + India’s CO2 generation doubled
since 1990
Diversion
of 30% of Gulf Stream could cause bitter winters- Maui
Time
Aug 27,‘05 (Sat) Said 22
drainage
pumping stations operate continuously
Aug 29-31 – Power out;
Pump stations fail; Levees
break;
so city already
in flood equilibrium, but electric pumps will fail
City 2/3 destroyed by
catastrophic contaminated
during hurricane hit.
City
could become 350 sq. mi. abandoned
flood that will take years
to fully recover
from.
destroyed
bathtub filled with foul warm contaminated toxic brew.
-Hammernews
Jan
’03 Warned of our vulnerablilty
to backpack bombs after
July ’05 2 sets of Backpack Bomb attacks on London Subways
projected Iraq invasion re. my
experience with Brit
paranoia
about them in IRA-torn London
Radio Commentary for NPR
Oct
’02-Mar ’03 Said
Bush would
invade Iraq
no matter what,
May ’03 Invasion occurs
against wishes of UN and
most of
and that claims of Saddam’s
9-11/Osama links + WMD’s were world; No WMD’s
or
Osama links found; Ordnance,
treasures
lies pushed by
propaganda,
distortions, and cooked reports- of
antiquity, all institutions (inc.
nuclear)
destroyed in looting
Liberal Slant
Oct
'97
Warned insane to send
people into space without
Feb
'03 Shuttle burns up after
damage.
NASA doesn't even
quick rescue
capability of air-launched rocket plane
study
shuttle w telescopes because
there are no options
Predicted faster, better, cheaper NASA policy
was
Crew
has no jet packs, repair kits,
fuel for rendezvous
cutting corners that would lead to disasters State
of Space
Dec
’99 Titan + Delta 3 launches
fail
– Aug ’98,
Mars Orbiter
+ Polar Lander
missions lost
July-Aug
'01 Predicted Palestinian/Moslem attack on
NYC or DC
Sept 11 Coordinated 9-11
Terrorist Attacks on NYC + DC
(see
also
below Aug 00: collapse of talks augers violence)
June ’89 Predicted collapse of Warsaw
Pact
+
Nov
’89 Berlin Wall Falls, Within 18
Possible end of Cold War months Eastern Block free
Nov
’03 Predicted Civil War almost
inevitable in Iraq;
Feb
’04- 05 Sunni insurgents
bombings target Shiites;
Suggested
PARTITION might mitigate or prevent it
Shiite
death squads roam
Basra; Al-Zarqawi calls
Original
-Capital Times
for
Civil
War; Head of Council on Foreign
Relations
advocates Partition a month
later
than me in NYT
Nov
’90 Predicted length, conduct, and outcome of
Gulf War
March ’91 Gulf War lasts 6
weeks in staggering
(4-8 weeks, greatest aerial assault,
overwhelming
victory)
victory
with almost no casualties; Missiles
Argued desert would allow total visibility to
high-tech weapons
devastate buildings
like video game
June
’97
Forecast
liberalization of Iran
under Khatami
Sept
’98 Fatwa against
Rushdie
lifted
+ probable lifting of Salmon Rushdie contract
Iran
has soccer tournament w US; Liberalization
continues against murderous
religious opposition
Jan ’01 Claimed 10 year
financial surplus predictions
absurd and Jan
’03
Although 9-11 a factor,
surpluses evaporate and
Bush’s tax rebates reckless
and unwarranted - Online Journal
unprecedented deficits run; Social Security
raided
and
risked
Aug-Oct
‘04 Claimed Kerry needed to attack
Bush
on his lies
Nov ‘04
Kerry loses after being smeared as a coward and
to overcome years of propaganda
and slanders to come
weakling by Vietnam
and service evading President
July
’97
Criticized
corrupt Hawaii Bishop Estate-
Aug-
Sept 97 Gov. orders massive investigation
of
Largest ‘charity’ in coun. +
obviously fixed HI gas prices
Bishop
Es., Later 10 year price-fixing
($12 billion) – West
Hawaii Today
($ 2x mainland)
prosecution of oil companies
brought
Aug
’00
Predicted
Lieberman’s choice
would lead to Gore’s
Dec
’00 Gore “loses” after
electoral
dead-heat
defeat; If he ran from Monica,
would
also run from
when
he doesn’t mention past and spurns
economic boom + Clinton campaign talents.
Said Biden
best
Clinton’s
help; Loses TN + ARK
VP choice
August
2008 Biden
Veep under Obama
Aug
’00 Warned
collapse of Middle East talks
would lead to
Dec’00 Over
350 killed in bitter fighting;
no end in
huge eruption of
violence;
Maybe end in Arab expulsion
sight;
Hard-liners close to taking power in Israel
fm West Bank + increased
terrorism against US
USS
Cole blown up
Feb
’97 Warned of dangers of Chinas
burgeoning wealth +
July
’99-2000 Brutal
crackdown on
Falun Gong
power/ intimidating Taiwan,
firing missiles, Spratley Is
despite
WTO and MFN membership
takeover, Tibet brutalization
consideration
July
’93
Derided
sanctions as ineffective
moral sop to wealthy
Mar
’99 Years of sanctions fail to
stop
nations
that hurts weak + innocent in offending co. (Iraq),
Serbian ethnic
cleansing; NATO starts mass
not rulers; Hard to stop + lose
raison d’etre (Cuba) Moscow Guardian
bombing; Serbians
retreat
fm Kosovo in June
Aug ’93 Warned criminal
violence and Mafiya control would
’95-’98 Oligarchs
and Mafiya chieftains control virtually all
be situation in Russia for decades- Moscow News
(pan far right)business;
Contract killings common;
Oligarchs appointed to
government
Sept
22 '01 Claimed Pakistanis big source of terrorism;
Warned
Jan '02 After 2 Paki attacks
India close to War
w Pakistan
50%
chance of In/Pak nuclear
war within 3-5 years in ‘98
Warned of Attacks through
Postal System
–Liberal Slant
Oct '01 Series of Mailed
Anthrax Episodes,
Feb ’84
Analyzed
media’s
ability to cover wars in Vietnam, +
Jan
’91 Press is rigidly
controlled
in Gulf War, not allowed
Predicted new restrictive policies in Grenada, Lebanon,
Falklands
free movement or to talk to soldiers
without officers
was ominous trend that could change government- press
present;
Reporters set out on their own + are
relations forever -
CJR
captured + tortured by Iraqis
Dec ’80 Predicted
Soviet
crackdown on Poland inevitable,
Dec
’81 Soviet Union forces Jaruzelski to enact martial
otherwise revolutionary fervor would spread-Providence Journal
law; imprisons Walesa + Solidarity members
Dec ’79
Predicted Iran hostage
crisis
would, without decisive
Jan
‘81 Hostages
released after
1¼ years; Damages US
action, become endless grinding humiliating sideshow
self-image more
than any event but Vietnam;
-Providence
Journal
Destroys
Carter’s candidacy
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