ACCURATE FORECASTS
in Michael Hammerschlag's Commentaries
Forecast Actuality
Mar ’08 Warned “world markets are hanging by a thread” and “A Sept
‘08-? Lehman Bros. Collapses; Hundreds of trillions $ of junk
collapse by any major player (investment
house) could create mortgage bonds, CDS, CDO’s peddled by USA destroy
a chain reaction that would cause a worldwide
collapse” world banks + economy; Starts new depression?
The Bush Battered Dollar Oct ’07- Warned friends to sell
everything
Aug ’08
Said McCain’s
judgment was deeply flawed going back to Nov ’08 McCain crushed in epochal election by first black
decision to not “allow” himself from being repatriated from President. Chooses
spectacularly unqualified and
North Vietnam prison- A Question of Judgment Scoop incompetent Palin
Veep; Runs erratic, flakey campaign
Oct
’07 Said Putin would never leave
office- that he would appoint May ’08 Putin Prime Minister under
“President” Medvedev;
a
protégé who would make him Prime Minister, then come Medvedev looks harried
under constant pressure;
back as President – The Infinite Putin- Capital
Times Former liberal more and more hard-line
July ’02 Warned Israel’s persecution
of Arafat and the PLO, the only June ’07 After Bush
backing of Fatah takeover, Hamas crushes
moderate Palestinian leader risked bringing HAMAS to power; Fatah in Gaza and assumes control; Israel imposes
BushCo encouraging attacks
on PLO + Arafat – Liberal Slant blockade, Jan 2009 invasion kills 1450,
destroys Gaza
Sept ‘98 Warned of enormous
rise in global warming, creating Sept ’04 Florida hammered by 4 hurricanes
more
and larger hurricanes + extreme
weather; Said changes Sept
’05 Katrina + Rita destroy New
Orleans
likely past point of no
return; Exposed contributions of NO2
Scientists
say temp rise past point of no return
Said
China + India coal burning would make Kyoto moot; China + India’s CO2 generation doubled
since 1990
Diversion
of 30% of Gulf Stream could cause bitter winters- Maui
Time
Aug 27,‘05 (Sat) Said 22
drainage pumping stations operate continuously Aug 29-31 – Power out;
Pump stations fail; Levees
break;
so city already
in flood equilibrium, but electric pumps will fail City 2/3 destroyed by catastrophic contaminated
during hurricane hit.
City could become 350 sq. mi. abandoned flood that will take years to fully recover
from.
destroyed
bathtub filled with foul warm contaminated toxic brew.
-Hammernews
Jan
’03 Warned of our vulnerablilty
to backpack bombs after July ’05 2 sets of Backpack Bomb attacks on London Subways
projected Iraq invasion re. my experience with Brit
paranoia
about them in IRA-torn London Radio Commentary for NPR
Oct
’02-Mar ’03 Said
Bush would invade Iraq
no matter what, May ’03 Invasion occurs against wishes of UN and
most of
and that claims of Saddam’s
9-11/Osama links + WMD’s were world; No WMD’s
or Osama links found; Ordnance,
treasures
lies pushed by propaganda,
distortions, and cooked reports- of antiquity, all institutions (inc. nuclear)
destroyed in looting
Liberal Slant
Oct '97
Warned insane to send people into space without Feb
'03 Shuttle burns up after damage.
NASA doesn't even
quick rescue
capability of air-launched rocket plane study shuttle w telescopes because
there are no options
Predicted faster, better, cheaper NASA policy was Crew has no jet packs, repair kits,
fuel for rendezvous
cutting corners that would lead to disasters State of Space Dec
’99 Titan + Delta 3 launches fail
– Aug ’98,
Mars Orbiter + Polar Lander
missions lost
July-Aug
'01 Predicted Palestinian/Moslem attack on NYC or DC Sept 11 Coordinated 9-11 Terrorist Attacks on NYC + DC
(see
also below Aug 00: collapse of talks augers violence)
June ’89 Predicted collapse of Warsaw Pact
+ Nov
’89 Berlin Wall Falls, Within 18
Possible end of Cold War months Eastern Block free
Nov
’03 Predicted Civil War almost
inevitable in Iraq; Feb
’04- 05 Sunni insurgents
bombings target Shiites;
Suggested
PARTITION might mitigate or prevent it Shiite
death squads roam
Basra; Al-Zarqawi calls
Original -Capital Times for Civil
War; Head of Council on Foreign
Relations
advocates Partition a month later
than me in NYT
Nov
’90 Predicted length, conduct, and outcome of
Gulf War March ’91 Gulf War lasts 6 weeks in staggering
(4-8 weeks, greatest aerial assault, overwhelming
victory) victory
with almost no casualties; Missiles
Argued desert would allow total visibility to
high-tech weapons devastate buildings
like video game
June
’97 Forecast liberalization of Iran
under Khatami Sept
’98 Fatwa against Rushdie
lifted
+ probable lifting of Salmon Rushdie contract Iran
has soccer tournament w US; Liberalization
continues against murderous
religious opposition
Jan ’01 Claimed 10 year financial surplus predictions absurd and Jan ’03 Although 9-11 a factor,
surpluses evaporate and
Bush’s tax rebates reckless
and unwarranted - Online Journal unprecedented deficits run; Social Security
raided
and
risked
Aug-Oct ‘04 Claimed Kerry needed to attack Bush
on his lies Nov ‘04
Kerry loses after being smeared as a coward and
to overcome years of propaganda and slanders to come weakling by Vietnam
and service evading President
July
’97 Criticized
corrupt Hawaii Bishop Estate- Aug-
Sept 97 Gov. orders massive investigation of
Largest ‘charity’ in coun. +
obviously fixed HI gas prices Bishop
Es., Later 10 year price-fixing
($12 billion) – West Hawaii Today ($ 2x mainland) prosecution of oil companies
brought
Aug
’00 Predicted Lieberman’s choice
would lead to Gore’s Dec
’00 Gore “loses” after electoral
dead-heat
defeat; If he ran from Monica, would
also run from when
he doesn’t mention past and spurns
economic boom + Clinton campaign talents. Said Biden
best Clinton’s
help; Loses TN + ARK
VP choice August
2008 Biden Veep under Obama
Aug
’00 Warned collapse of Middle East talks
would lead to Dec’00 Over 350 killed in bitter fighting;
no end in
huge eruption of violence;
Maybe end in Arab expulsion sight;
Hard-liners close to taking power in Israel
fm West Bank + increased
terrorism against US USS
Cole blown up
Feb
’97 Warned of dangers of Chinas
burgeoning wealth + July
’99-2000 Brutal crackdown on
Falun Gong
power/ intimidating Taiwan,
firing missiles, Spratley Is despite
WTO and MFN membership
takeover, Tibet brutalization consideration
July
’93 Derided sanctions as ineffective
moral sop to wealthy Mar
’99 Years of sanctions fail to
stop
nations that hurts weak + innocent in offending co. (Iraq), Serbian ethnic
cleansing; NATO starts mass
not rulers; Hard to stop + lose
raison d’etre (Cuba) Moscow Guardian bombing; Serbians
retreat fm Kosovo in June
Aug ’93 Warned criminal
violence and Mafiya control would ’95-’98 Oligarchs and Mafiya chieftains control virtually all
be situation in Russia for decades- Moscow News (pan far right)business;
Contract killings common;
Oligarchs appointed to government
Sept
22 '01 Claimed Pakistanis big source of terrorism; Warned Jan '02 After 2 Paki attacks India close to War
w Pakistan
50% chance of In/Pak nuclear
war within 3-5 years in ‘98
Warned of Attacks through Postal System –Liberal Slant Oct '01 Series of Mailed
Anthrax Episodes,
Feb ’84 Analyzed media’s
ability to cover wars in Vietnam, + Jan
’91 Press is rigidly controlled
in Gulf War, not allowed
Predicted new restrictive policies in Grenada, Lebanon, Falklands free movement or to talk to soldiers
without officers
was ominous trend that could change government- press
present;
Reporters set out on their own + are
relations forever -
CJR captured + tortured by Iraqis
Dec ’80 Predicted Soviet
crackdown on Poland inevitable, Dec
’81 Soviet Union forces Jaruzelski to enact martial
otherwise revolutionary fervor would spread-Providence Journal law; imprisons Walesa + Solidarity members
Dec ’79 Predicted Iran hostage crisis
would, without decisive Jan
‘81 Hostages released after
1¼ years; Damages US
action, become endless grinding humiliating sideshow self-image more
than any event but Vietnam;
-Providence Journal Destroys
Carter’s candidacy
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